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To: Eric L. who wrote (20954)6/25/2002 9:50:08 AM
From: Eric L.Respond to of 28730
 
re: More Bluetooth

* Between eight and ten million Bluetooth chipsets were shipped last year,

* Forecasts for 2002 stand at around 50 million and are heading towards the one billion level by 2006.

* A report by Deloitte Research adds weight to the bundled future for Bluetooth by stating that while many different mobile and wireless technologies are vying for attention, and each might work well on its own, there is much greater impact when they are combined with each other. The study identifies five mobile and wireless technologies that organisations should consider deploying in 2002.

- Bluetooth

- Mobile messaging,

- Packet-switched (GPRS/1xRTT) mobile networks

- Mobile-connected PDA

- Wireless LAN (WLAN)


>> Twelve Months Is A Long Time In Bluetooth's Short Life

Bluetooth World
Issue 6, 01 June 2002

Around this time last year, Microsoft and Intel executives made separate public assertions that labelled Bluetooth as an irrelevant technology. After removing the shotguns that had caused these self-inflicted wounds, both companies' PR machines attempted (in a rather lame manner) to smooth over what can only be considered a disaster for the Bluetooth community.

Unfortunately, these indications of confusion within the executive ranks of two of the world's largest technology developers coincided with a war of words generated from within the 802.11b industry pronouncing Bluetooth dead.

Tough times that must have led many a Bluetooth developer to doubt the cause. Certainly, the BSIG remained invisible during this time of crisis, with no reassuring words or statements to bring some sanity to the more biased or ludicrous allegations made by some industry analysts and segments of the press. But Bluetooth has survived, albeit damaged by the PR blunders/initiatives.

Indeed, the negative speculation concerning its future has abated. The range and number of companies announcing Bluetooth-enabled products increases daily, the giants of the semiconductor industry are ramping up their manufacturing capabilities, while new developers, such as STMicroelectronics, announce their intentions to have chipsets available later this year. Most industry analysts agree that between eight and ten million Bluetooth chipsets were shipped last year, while forecasts for 2002 stand at around 50 million and are heading towards the one billion level by 2006. Good news for the industry - if it comes true.

Infrared technology has been integrated into millions of devices, yet, with the exception of the TV remote, its usage is minuscule. What is the danger of Bluetooth following this same level of user disinterest, given that the technical complexities of Bluetooth technology are somewhat of a minefield for the average consumer? Perhaps the answer to the consumer interest question will be overcome by a growing number of firms bundling familiar products together, with the added benefit of being linked via Bluetooth. Sony is pushing this marketing ploy aggressively and has packaged one of its notebook PCs with an Ericsson T39 cellphone to offer mobile workers the potential of a GPRS wireless connection to the internet. Its dealer channel has reported huge interest.

Meanwhile, a national advertising campaign by Vodafone is promoting wireless internet access based on a Compaq 3870 iPaq and Bluetooth-enabled cellphone.

Widcomm, a long-term Bluetooth supporter, says it has reorganised its resources so that 50 per cent are now focused on developing 'Bluetooth bundles'. The company has confirmed that it is working hard to put together a PDA, cellphone and headset combination, and admits it is now being asked by companies with no past experience in radio technology to help them put together Bluetooth bundles.

A report by Deloitte Research adds weight to the bundled future for Bluetooth by stating that while many different mobile and wireless technologies are vying for attention, and each might work well on its own, there is much greater impact when they are combined with each other. In the study Deloitte identifies five mobile and wireless technologies that organisations should consider deploying in 2002. It based the final selection on three areas: appraisals of technical functionality; life-cycle stage; and, most importantly, suitability for business applications. Its top five list for 2002 comprised Bluetooth, mobile messaging, packet-switched (GPRS) mobile networks, the mobile-connected PDA and Wireless LAN (WLAN).

While every technology is distinct, Deloitte states that none of the technologies are mutually exclusive. "In some cases, combinations of technology work well, such as GPRS networks and mobile-connected PDAs. Even combinations of the same type of technology, such as Bluetooth and WLAN, could co-exist within the same application." However, the report warns that the relevance of each technology could vary by region: "For example, the penetration of cellphone and services that could support mobile messaging is highest in Europe, but still relatively low in North America, and regional differences would need to be taken into account."

It concludes by stating that Bluetooth's benefits are in many respects the inverse of its challenges. "Bluetooth should succeed in 2002 because it will finally attain the right levels of cost, ubiquity, credibility and interoperability. Bluetooth would then be recognised for its inherent strengths for business applications." Glowing praise indeed! Underneath this message, though, is the realisation that on its own Bluetooth is nothing. Talking to potential users about the array of application profiles is time wasted. But show users a Bluetooth-enabled Palm or Compaq PDA that is connected to a GPRS cellphone, and mobile internet surfing becomes a very realistic sales opportunity. <<

- Eric -



To: Eric L. who wrote (20954)6/25/2002 10:30:15 AM
From: Eric L.Respond to of 28730
 
re: Nokia on Bluetooth

Interview with Jukka Lintusaari, Director of Bluetooth Solutions in Nokia Venture's new growth business organisation.

>> Venturing Forth

Bluetooth World
Issue 6
01 June 2002

The most successful cellphone manufacturer in the world has been accused of being less than open about its perspectives and ambitions for the role of Bluetooth. As Nokia Venture belatedly introduces the technology within high-end mobile phones, Jukka Lintusaari, director of Bluetooth solutions in Nokia Venture's new growth business organisation, outlines its plans, hopes and fears for Bluetooth's future

What is Nokia's marketing strategy for Bluetooth?


A. Unofficially, within Nokia we have grouped together market areas where Bluetooth could be used. There are three different segments:

- First, cable replacement, which within the cellphone business allows many devices to be connected to the mobile phone, PDA or PC.

- Secondly, ad hoc networking, where people and their interests are connected together, perhaps people sharing resources within a meeting room for example.

- Thirdly, local content or services that can be connected to the network using Bluetooth, which is not an alternative access method but more a totally new group of services, for example a local weather service for where you are at that particular time. Bluetooth could be an excellent enabler for this type of service.

Bluetooth is now well represented within Nokia products with more and more of our terminals including the technology. But, it's not yet in all products and we're looking at what the business drivers are before including it within a particular range.

Today, Bluetooth is still very much aimed at cable replacement, but this is only the first wave of products, and cable replacement will be one of many areas where we will see Bluetooth being used.

Also, the recent announcement concerning the sale of our compact flash business to Socket was very straightforward. We have been involved with Bluetooth for many years, and for a big company we had an interest and responsibility to make sure it is successful. But there were areas that had become mature, so we took the decision to move more towards our core business, and Nokia is not a long-term developer of compact flash cards.

There are other companies better at this development than ourselves, but our involvement was needed in the early days.

How are the cellphone operators reacting to Bluetooth?


A. Some within the cellphone operator community believe Bluetooth is a real threat to their businesses. They point to it being a new technology where the business case is unclear, and investment is required without understanding what the return might be.

Part of this hesitation by some operators is that, in the last three to four years, there have been many promises made regarding new technology that have resulted in disappointment - albeit not always due to the technology, but sometimes misunderstanding the business case. This happened with WAP and to some degree GPRS. Maybe the telecoms industry has not been so good at marketing these new developments in a simple and effective manner.

Others operators take a more positive viewpoint, believing that new types of local service groups could be built and combined with the existing cellular business models. However, I believe these services will start with or without mobile operators. For example, some of our competitors have launched Bluetooth-enabled cameras, and more products such as these will quickly appear.

But quite how operators will benefit from Bluetooth remains to be seen.

If the business case is strong enough, and the technology is combined with GSM, GPRS and UMTS, operators could see service revenues boosted, plus the addition of local Bluetooth-based services.

Are you happy with the BSIG's methodology for developing specification?


A. One of the areas the telecoms industry has organised very successfully is product release management - a process that must be adopted by the Bluetooth SIG. Where some products are on 1.1 while others are on 1.2, it needs to be absolutely clear to the user where products will work together, and where they won't. Nobody should be confused. From my experiences with GSM and UMTS, interoperability is absolutely key and without this the consumer can become very bewildered.

The next development of Bluetooth is crucial to its breakthrough, but for now the BSIG and all the manufacturers need to be determined to ensure that the existing 1.1 specification is stable enough so any developer can build Bluetooth products with confidence.

People within the BSIG are talking about future radio specifications - will the spec include high or low rate data speeds etc? These discussions need to be agreed this year, with any transition to a new revision of Bluetooth being an assured success story. The BSIG must agree upon a radio evolution and when and how it should be released.

The BSIG has focused on what it needs to achieve rather than talking with other wireless industry bodies. This was probably because Bluetooth's initial role was seen as a cable replacement technology.

But if a Bluetooth radio is positioned as one of the access methods within cellular, discussions will be needed with 3GPP, ETSI and other cellular organisations.

In recognition of this, and to ensure wider usage, the BSIG looks like it has accepted that it cannot standardise everything and it is now starting to talk to other industry bodies. A good example is the WAP Forum where discussion have focused on how to standardise WAP over Bluetooth, and whether to use the LAN or PAN profile.

What Challenges Does Bluetooth Face Over The Next 12 Months?


A. The next big hurdle for Bluetooth, but it's not 'Mission Impossible', is how to evolve from where the technology is today to being IP-based.

This raises the questions of how the profiles should be migrated and which are important.

In general, we support IP evolution, including IPv6, which is very valid for Bluetooth. The question is how to make the transition, which has not been answered very well by the working group. Bluetooth started from an application-specific profile viewpoint, and, as part of the PAN profile working group.

Nokia is working in-house to better understand the issues while recognising that we need to adopt and accept how other organisations are working and recognise their standards.

But, ad hoc Bluetooth networking is perhaps one of the most difficult areas.

What is needed is the involvement of many other standardisation bodies - for example, how security and billing would operate, together with content and authentication mechanisms. But the opportunity ad hoc networking offers is perhaps one of the most interesting for Bluetooth.

With regard to how the PAN profile is standardised - if it's done well, then there will be an explosion of applications that can use Bluetooth.

With the PAN profile comes service discovery, but there is a question mark as to how the right devices will find each other. This has been a hot discussion point within the BSIG and there are many different concepts under discussion.

What does the future hold for Bluetooth?


A. It looks increasingly likely that Bluetooth will be widely used. But, over the next two years it will be interesting to see where the millions of Bluetooth chips are used most, and for what applications.

Bluetooth is perhaps unique in being the only wireless technology that has been developed where there is a strong link between the application and the radio. WLAN and cellular radios, and other lower level technologies, are standardised separately from the applications. The 1.1 specification is good today, but any new revision of Bluetooth that is not finalised correctly will be a problem, and the BSIG must establish a comprehensive release management system to ensure success. For example, a solid statement is needed regarding the backward compatibility for 1.2 when used with 1.1. But the last five per cent of the work on any standard is always the most crucial, and this holds true for Bluetooth. With GSM there are still several thousand people working on standardisation after the product has been around for over ten years.

Bluetooth also needs a more detailed roadmap to better understand how it might be used in the future with IPv6, network services etc, and how this will be communicated to those working outside the Bluetooth industry.

There also needs to be a good dialogue, starting now, with the developers of complementary technologies. The BSIG must be networking with other organisations about what it should do regarding security, authentication and discovery protocol.

Overall, the business drivers need to be stronger than the technical drivers.<<

- Eric -



To: Eric L. who wrote (20954)6/25/2002 10:44:05 AM
From: 49thMIMOManderRead Replies (3) | Respond to of 28730
 
<who in the late 1990s envisioned spending only $5 to build Bluetooth capability into each device. Hah! The cheapest Bluetooth PC Card adapter today is about $120>

Ouch, that intellectual honesty, the $5 is for the module, not the pbc, power supply, caps,PC connector,
extra PCI bus logic, chips,etc...

That $5 is to compete with exactly that same PCI connector plus backpanel connector plus cable.

but maybe the guy like to make cheap jokes about himself??

Ilmarinen




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